News
The day at a glance · 4 min read
Mood · Cautious
+25
Sentiment, −100 to +100
Bitcoin ETF Inflows
$3.1B
Ether ETF Outflows
$3M
Zcash Fund Outflows
$8M
Key driverBitcoin ETFs extended their inflow streak to $3.1B while geopolitical tensions and Fed rate uncertainty kept BTC range-bound between support at 82,500 and resistance at 85,000
Daily briefCrypto & Web3· Money365.Market AI ·

Bitcoin ETFs Extend $3.1B Inflow Streak; MiCA Under Review

BTC ETFs continue strong flows while Ether funds turn negative. European stablecoin issuer launches USD token under MiCA framework.

Bitcoin & Ethereum

Neutral

BTC Support Level

82,500

BTC Resistance Level

85,000

Oct Rate Hike Probability

45%-25pp
BTCETH
Bitcoin (common stock-tracking ETFs) extended their inflow streak with $3.1B in cumulative inflows, while Ether ETFs (cryptocurrency ETFs) turned negative with $3 million in outflows following seven consecutive days of inflows, according to Cointelegraph. The reversal in Ether fund flows followed an $8 million outflow from Zcash funds at the start of the week.
Bitcoin has been consolidating since last Wednesday, trading in a range between support at 82,500 and resistance at 85,000, with ongoing US-Iran tensions keeping a lid on further gains. From a risk management perspective, buyers will have a better risk-to-reward setup around the upward trendline to push into new highs at 90,000, while sellers will want to see the price breaking lower to extend the drop into the 76,000 support level next.
Bitcoin received support from Fed's Williams, who said there was no urgency to raise rates following the September hike and that another increase would likely be appropriate if the economy continued to perform as expected. His comments triggered a dovish repricing in rate expectations, with the probability of an October hike falling from around 70% to roughly 45%.

Crypto Stocks

Bullish

HOOD After-Hours Gain

2%+2%
HOODPYPL
Robinhood Markets ($HOOD) (common stock) announced AI trading agents built directly into the app that can analyze markets, build strategies and execute trades autonomously around the clock, alongside 10x crypto perpetual futures, according to CoinDesk. The stock climbed more than 2% in after-hours trading on the company's 24-hour trading platform following the announcement.
PayPal Holdings ($PYPL) (common stock) integrated with IPQualityScore within platforms such as Alloy, Shopify and Stripe, feeding fraud intelligence and digital risk signals directly into PayPal transaction and account workflows for participating merchants. The expanded integration is expected to affect customer onboarding checks, security event handling and fraud detection rules used across the PayPal ecosystem.

Regulation & Policy

Neutral

Illinois Crypto Tax Rate

0.2%
The European Commission's MiCA review consultation has closed, with Europe deciding whether its crypto rulebook is protecting the market without making it too costly to build in, according to Cointelegraph. As the review progresses, the market is evaluating whether the regulatory framework strikes the right balance between investor protection and innovation.
Illinois released draft rules detailing how its 0.2% digital asset transaction tax would apply to stablecoins, DeFi platforms, crypto bridges and self-custody transfers. The draft rules spell out the treatment of decentralized finance protocols and stablecoin transactions under the state's tax framework.

Stablecoin & Infrastructure

Bullish

Brazil Fund Records on XRP

$4T
XRP
European stablecoin issuer AllUnity launched USDAU, its fourth fiat-backed stablecoin, expanding a MiCA-regulated lineup that already covers the euro, Swiss franc and Swedish krona. The USD stablecoin (crypto token) adds dollar exposure to the company's regulated stablecoin offerings operating under the European Union's Markets in Crypto-Assets framework.
The XRP Ledger (distributed ledger) started carrying fund records from a Brazil operator overseeing $4 trillion in assets, according to CoinDesk. The integration marks institutional adoption of blockchain infrastructure for traditional financial record-keeping.
Winklevoss-owned Gemini (crypto exchange) switched Zcash software ahead of faster blocks targeting a 25-second block time, according to CoinDesk. The software upgrade prepares the exchange's infrastructure for the upcoming network enhancement.

Security & Risk

Bearish

Crypto.com Super Bowl Ad

$15M
SlowMist traced the Bitget hack activity to an August 31 zero-day exploit, identifying malicious activity weeks before the theft that involved a zero-day vulnerability, two security products and a custom withdrawal tool. The security firm's investigation revealed the attack vector and timeline of the compromise.
Crypto.com (crypto exchange) AI agent remains in stealth mode nearly eight months after its Super Bowl debut, with users still wondering what happened to their promised AI agent. In February, ai.com drew enough traffic to crash its website after a $15 million Super Bowl ad, but the product has yet to materialize publicly.

Looking Ahead

Neutral
Focus remains on US-Iran developments, with a breakthrough in negotiations potentially providing further support for Bitcoin as expectations for aggressive Fed tightening would likely be pared back. Conversely, a prolonged stalemate or renewed escalation would likely keep risk sentiment under pressure and limit Bitcoin's upside.
Key economic data this week includes the US ADP report and US PCE price index, followed by the US ISM Manufacturing PMI and jobless claims, concluding with the US NFP report on Friday. These macro catalysts will influence rate expectations and risk appetite for digital assets.

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