News
The day at a glance · 4 min read
Mood · Cautious
+25
Sentiment, −100 to +100
Bitcoin Price
$78,000
BTC Support Level
76,000
BTC Resistance
82,500
Key driverBitcoin holding near $78,000 as traders await Tuesday's CLARITY Act Senate cloture vote and Wednesday's FOMC rate decision amid hawkish macro backdrop
Daily briefCrypto & Web3· Money365.Market AI ·

Bitcoin Holds $78K Ahead of CLARITY Act Vote, Fed Decision

BTC resilient despite macro headwinds; Senate cloture vote Tuesday could drive volatility as FOMC rate decision looms Wednesday

Bitcoin & Ethereum

Bullish

Ethereum ETF Flows (Weekly)

+$197M
BTCETH
Bitcoin has climbed to $78,000, showing resilience despite higher-than-expected US monthly core inflation pushing rate hike expectations higher and oil prices above $100 adding to inflation concerns. The cryptocurrency is bouncing from major support at the 76,000 level, with buyers expected to target resistance at 82,500, while a break below support could see a drop toward 67,000. Bitcoin has largely held up against a deteriorating macro backdrop, suggesting crypto-specific catalysts may be offsetting broader risk-asset weakness.
Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds experienced weekly outflows of $463M, reversing recent inflow trends, with ARKB, GBTC, and IBIT leading withdrawals according to data from the past week.
Ethereum (ETH) ETFs gained $197M in weekly inflows, driven primarily by BlackRock's ETHA product. The divergence in flows highlights differing institutional sentiment between the two largest cryptocurrencies ahead of major regulatory and monetary policy catalysts.

Regulation & Policy

Neutral

CLARITY Act Vote Time

Tuesday 2:15pm ET
The CLARITY Act faces its first real Senate test with a cloture vote Tuesday at 2:15pm ET, requiring 60 votes to open debate on the legislation that aims to establish clearer regulatory framework for digital assets in the US. Senate Republicans released a revised 635-page draft incorporating Trump-backed ethics provisions and 126 changes sought by Democrats, representing a "final" offer ahead of the procedural vote. The legislation is designed to draw clearer jurisdictional lines between the SEC and CFTC while establishing regulatory requirements for crypto exchanges, brokers, and dealers, with the SEC itself expressing support for the framework.
Market participants face potential volatility around the vote outcome, as failure could effectively close the legislative window for crypto market structure this year given November midterms, likely triggering a selloff in Bitcoin. Even if the cloture vote succeeds, analysts warn of a potential "sell the fact" reaction as focus will quickly shift to the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday. The legislation could ultimately support greater institutional participation and deeper liquidity by reducing regulatory uncertainty that has prevented traditional financial firms from building crypto-related products.
The UK Financial Conduct Authority is considering bespoke rules and fund exemptions for tokenized gold products, according to reports, as unnamed industry participants warned that UK fund rule uncertainty could slow tokenized gold development and limit investor access. The regulatory review reflects growing global attention to tokenized real-world assets as blockchain infrastructure matures.

Crypto Stocks

Bullish

Armstrong BTC Target

$400,000

Required CAGR to 2030

51%
COINHOOD
Coinbase (COIN) CEO Brian Armstrong has stated that $400,000 is within reach for Bitcoin, noting that hitting that price by the end of 2030 would require a compound annual growth rate of 51%. The projection comes as the exchange stands to benefit from increased regulatory clarity if the CLARITY Act advances through Congress.
Robinhood (HOOD) CEO Vlad Tenev argued that companies should control share rights but not "every lawful use" of their securities, stating that issuers should be involved if tokenized products change shareholder rights or company obligations, but not when they create separate instruments backed by shares. Tenev defended the company's stock tokenization efforts via its onchain technology, saying it makes the vision of global access to high-quality financial assets "real at global scale, starting with US stocks."

DeFi & Protocol Developments

Neutral

Symbiosis BTC Recovered

15 BTC

Recovery Bounty Rate

20%
Symbiosis, a cross-chain liquidity protocol, has recovered 15 BTC from a bridge hack and is offering a 20% bounty for information leading to asset recovery after the hacker refused to return stolen funds for the same white-hat bounty rate. The incident highlights ongoing security challenges facing DeFi bridge infrastructure as cross-chain activity continues to grow across the ecosystem.

Looking Ahead

Neutral
The week ahead represents a critical juncture for crypto markets with the Tuesday CLARITY Act cloture vote followed immediately by the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday, creating potential for elevated volatility across digital assets. Thursday will bring US Jobless Claims figures, while traders will continue monitoring developments in the Middle East that could impact oil prices and inflation expectations. The convergence of crypto-specific regulatory catalysts with macro monetary policy decisions creates an uncertain near-term outlook, with Bitcoin technical levels at 76,000 support and 82,500 resistance likely to frame price action.

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