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Banks Draw Buy Ratings as Markets Rout Deepens

Jefferies initiates coverage as major financials face correction pressures and Middle East tensions

Financial Sector Overview

Financial markets continued to deteriorate Thursday as the Nasdaq Composite slipped into correction territory, now 10.6% off its all-time high from last October. The ongoing Middle East conflict has driven haven flows into the dollar, which is on track for its best month since July with a gain of more than 2% in March. Diminished expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, fueled by war-driven energy price increases, have scrambled Wall Street's currency playbook.

Banks & Lending

Jefferies initiated coverage on major banks Friday, issuing Buy recommendations on Bank of America ($BAC), Citigroup ($C), and Wells Fargo ($WFC). Former Berkshire Hathaway investment manager Todd Combs, who left his role overseeing investments and leading Geico at year-end, has opened up for the first time about his new position running money for JPMorgan Chase ($JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon. Charles Schwab ($SCHW) saw its analyst fair value estimate edge slightly lower to $120.32 from $120.68, though Street research has turned more constructive on the firm's business model, earnings power, and capital return story.

Payments & Fintech

Mastercard ($MA) has hired investment bankers to manage the potential sale of its payments unit acquired from Nets, which could draw interest from private equity groups. The company continues to draw investor attention as it weighs recent share performance against fundamentals including $32.8 billion in revenue and $14.97 billion in net income. Visa ($V) launched its Enhanced Subscription Manager in North America, a new service enabling consumers to track, switch, and cancel recurring payments inside banking apps, with plans to extend the service to Latin America and the Caribbean following the initial rollout.

Capital Markets & Insurance

The IPO market is heating up with multiple high-profile tech companies planning listings. Anthropic, maker of the Claude chatbot, is considering going public as soon as October and has held early discussions with Goldman Sachs ($GS), JPMorgan Chase ($JPM), and Morgan Stanley about taking leading roles on the potential offering. SpaceX is telling prospective IPO investors to expect briefings in April from company executives as advisers scramble to file for what could be the biggest listing of all time. Lancashire Holdings saw its fair value estimate edge slightly lower from £6.78 to £6.69, with fresh analyst targets clustering around £6.76 on the bullish side and £5.90 on the bearish side.

Looking Ahead

Market participants will continue monitoring Federal Reserve policy signals as diminished rate-cut expectations reshape the outlook for bank profitability and lending conditions. The scheduled April investor briefings for SpaceX and potential October listing for Anthropic will test capital markets appetite amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Jamie Dimon's recent comments suggest he sees a faster AI shock coming, with government's role potentially shaping the technology's job market impact.

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