Laffer Curve

IntermediateMacroeconomics2 min read

Quick Definition

A theoretical relationship showing that there is an optimal tax rate that maximizes government revenue — too high or too low both reduce collections.

Key Takeaways

  • Tax revenue is zero at both 0% and 100% tax rates
  • An optimal rate exists between the extremes that maximizes revenue
  • Foundation of supply-side economics and arguments for tax cuts
  • The optimal rate is highly debated and context-dependent

What Is Laffer Curve?

The Laffer Curve, popularized by economist Arthur Laffer in the 1970s, illustrates the theoretical relationship between tax rates and government revenue. It posits that at a 0% tax rate, revenue is zero (no taxes collected), and at a 100% tax rate, revenue is also zero (no incentive to earn). Between these extremes lies an optimal rate that maximizes revenue. The curve suggests that beyond a certain point, higher tax rates become counterproductive because they discourage economic activity, encourage tax avoidance, and drive capital to lower-tax jurisdictions. The Laffer Curve became a cornerstone of supply-side economics and influenced Reagan-era tax cuts. However, the optimal rate is debated and varies by economy, time period, and type of tax.

Laffer Curve Example

  • 1Arthur Laffer reportedly sketched the curve on a napkin during a 1974 dinner with Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld.
  • 2Proponents argued that Reagan's tax cuts from 70% to 28% would increase revenue by stimulating growth.
  • 3Some Scandinavian countries maintain high tax rates (50%+) with strong revenue, suggesting the peak of the curve varies by country.