Dividend Discount Model (DDM) Calculator
Calculate intrinsic value using the Gordon Growth Model for dividend-paying stocks
Dividend Data
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Historical dividend growth rate (typically 2-8%)
Your expected return / discount rate
For margin of safety calculation
Gordon Growth Model Formula:
Intrinsic Value = D₁ / (r - g)
D₁ = Next year's dividend, r = required return, g = growth rate
Valuation Results
Annual dividend is required
Understanding the Dividend Discount Model
What is the Gordon Growth Model?
The Gordon Growth Model (also called the Dividend Discount Model or DDM) is a method for valuing dividend-paying stocks. It calculates the present value of all future dividends, assuming they grow at a constant rate forever. The formula is: Intrinsic Value = D₁ / (r - g), where D₁ is next year's dividend, r is your required rate of return, and g is the expected dividend growth rate.
Best Used For
- Stable, mature dividend-paying companies
- Companies with consistent dividend growth history
- Utility companies, REITs, and dividend aristocrats
- Blue-chip stocks with predictable cash flows
Why Growth Rate Must Be Less Than Required Return
Mathematically, if g ≥ r, the formula produces infinite or negative values, which doesn't make sense. Economically, no company can grow dividends faster than the overall economy forever. If a stock's dividend grows faster than your required return indefinitely, it would eventually become worth more than the entire economy - an impossibility.
Limitations
- Not suitable for non-dividend paying stocks (like growth stocks)
- Assumes constant dividend growth rate forever (unrealistic)
- Very sensitive to growth rate and required return inputs
- Doesn't account for changing business conditions
- May undervalue companies with temporarily low dividends
This calculator is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Always conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Free DDM Calculator by Money365.Market
Educational purposes only. Not financial advice.